Eye On Private Equity, Hard Money, REO Blog

REO Inventory Now 34% of California's Home Sales
May 16th, 2008 8:26 AM

REO Inventory Now 34% of California's Home Sales

05.13.08
The term real-estate owned (or REO) is taking on new meaning in California, where REO properties recently accounted for 34-percent of the state's home sales in April, according to a new report from ForeclosureRadar—a company that tracks all foreclosure data in the Western state.

ForeclosureRadar says the data collected in April hints at what lies ahead, and it's not necessarily good news.

In April alone, California set a new record when 44,101 new notices of default were filed. In addition, Notices of Trustee Sale increased 7.8-percent to 29,892, dwarfing the previous record. The number of foreclosures sold in California auctions (22,838) also increased 44-percent when compared to March.

“We expected a significant increase in auction sales based on previous default patterns,” said Sean O'Toole, founder of ForeclosureRadar. “Unfortunately, the continued increases in defaults tell us that the worst is still ahead. It is time for lenders to accept this reality, and start approving short sales rather than forcing more than two-thirds of troubled homeowners through the entire foreclosure process.”

ForeclosureRadar also painted a somewhat bleak picture for lenders, saying they “added 22,324 properties to their 'real estate owned' inventory last month." “Based on these levels, lenders are increasing REO inventories 1.36-times faster than they are able to resell them,” ForeclosureRadar said.

Posted by Mark Gorjestani on May 16th, 2008 8:26 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Volatility can create opportunities...
May 28th, 2008 7:15 PM
Despite the negative news, the economic slowdown presents opportunities for those interested in real estate investment funds.

Although real estate has always been a key wealth driver for sophisticated investors, today, a broader range of investors can access the sector.

Many investors have a comfort level with real estate because it is easy to understand. They can touch it and feel it, and, "They're not making any more land," as the adage goes.

Despite distress in the real estate market, there are investment opportunities through private-equity funds and other real estate investments. The opportunities require investments of $250,000 to several million dollars.

Investors should consider several factors when evaluating a real estate investment:

Experience. Firms that manage real estate investment funds should be experienced, and their portfolios should be diversified. They should have a deep bench of team members who have managed through many real estate cycles, and have the capital strength and reputation to meet investor objectives.

Investors should look for fund managers who are well-versed in their local markets. Real estate is still very much a local game.

When tapping into a new market, move slowly and leverage joint-venture partners who know those markets and can bring expertise as well as deals to the table.

Relationships. A real estate investment firm should have proven and strong relationships with acquisition and development partners who have access to deal flow, provide market expertise and can find off-market deals. There are a significant number of buyers in the market, so a network of partners — brokers, lenders and developers who may have early access to those deals — is key.

Furthermore, many real estate investment managers are having a hard time finding financing due to the credit crunch. They are undercapitalized and overleveraged.

Lending relationships are critical. Firms need to cultivate relationships with a core group of strong U.S. and international lenders who remain active in the market. These banking relationships allow firms to close deals that competitors might not be able to complete.

Structure. It is wise to look for a vertically integrated strategic firm with a full range of development, investment and asset management expertise and capabilities. Such a structure fosters the ability to be nimble and jump on acquisitions as well as development opportunities.

In addition, a firm that stays close to its assets will be able to manage and maintain its properties, enhancing returns while managing risks at the property level.

Diversification. Investors should also look for a real estate investment firm with a diversified investment strategy to ensure that the portfolio is diversified across geography, property type and strategy to protect against volatility and to enhance returns.

Markets are different in each region and change frequently. For example, the high demand for apartments in the Southeast is in contrast to the high demand for office space in the mid-Atlantic region. In addition, market cycles can rapidly change in different locations. What was once a profitable industrial market can quickly become a lucrative residential marketplace.

An investment manager who has expertise across many property types can quickly adjust to the opportunity set in the market and continue to perform across market cycles.

Capitalization. In this environment, being a smart investor involves being both an opportunistic and defensive buyer. That can mean investments in underperforming or distressed assets.

Also, look for defensive strategies with properties that provide medium-term stability and cash flow to hedge against economic distress. The investment strategy and opportunity is executed through a consistent investment process. Managers should be able to define and articulate their investment strategy, and explain how they are executing it in the current cycle.

Tangible assets. There are investment products that provide exposure to real estate, but each reacts differently to changes in the economy. Private vehicles that provide investors with a direct investment in bricks-and-mortar properties can provide a hedge against inflation, solid income and long-term appreciation with manageable risk.

Public vehicles can also provide strong returns, but their shares can be highly correlated to the markets and experience price fluctuations based on the supply and demand of their shares.


Posted by Mark Gorjestani on May 28th, 2008 7:15 PMPost a Comment (0)

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UBS sells $15 bn US real estate assets at discount
May 21st, 2008 10:25 AM

Swiss banking giant UBS, which had suffered huge losses in subprime crisis, on Wednesday said it has completed the sale of American real estate-related assets worth $15 billion to global investment management firm BlackRock.

The bank has sold primarily subprime and US residential mortgage-backed securities to a newly created distressed asset fund, which would be managed by BlackRock.

In a statement, UBS said it sold positions with a nominal value of about $22 billion to the new fund at a price of $15 billion.

Among the European banks, UBS is one of the worst hit by the subprime crisis and had announced writedowns to the tune of $35 billion.

"Risk reduction remains a critical part of our ongoing financial restructuring and this sale is a big step towards further reducing our positions in this asset class. We continue to manage our legacy risks in a flexible and creative way in the best interests of our shareholders," UBS Group Chief Executive Officer Marcel Rohner said.

According to the statement, the new fund purchased the securities using about $37.5 billion in equity raised by BlackRock from investors and a multi-year collateralized term loan of approximately $11.25 dollars provided by UBS.


Posted by Mark Gorjestani on May 21st, 2008 10:25 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Countrywide...when will they give!?
May 19th, 2008 12:31 PM

12,185 REO's Offered For Sale by Countrywide

Total REO Price: $2,288,463,654
(As of May 13, 2008)



Source: http://www.countrywide.com/purchase/f_reo.asp


Posted by Mark Gorjestani on May 19th, 2008 12:31 PMPost a Comment (1)

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This is interesting also...
May 15th, 2008 4:09 PM

Posted by Mark Gorjestani on May 15th, 2008 4:09 PMPost a Comment (0)

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REOs Held
May 15th, 2008 3:53 PM

This is 2007 date (as of 1-08).  What I find interesting is the number of Held REO is now more then double these numbers.

The tax rolls have been updated through the end of the year.  Here are some REO stats from the major players:

Bank/Lender-REOs Sold 2007-REO Held Currently

Deutsche-533-810

BoNY-344-452

Wells Fargo-319-455

HSBC-257-342

Countrywide-80-83

WaMu-60-101

Citi-44-91

Chase-52-58

Totals-1,689 - 2,392

 


Posted by Mark Gorjestani on May 15th, 2008 3:53 PMPost a Comment (0)

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